Match Analysis: Norfolk St Spartans vs Hampton Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Joseph G. Echols Memorial Hall
Game Overview
The Norfolk State Spartans host the Hampton Pirates in a closely contested NCAAB matchup. Both teams are coming off sub-.500 starts to their seasons, with Norfolk State at 2-3 and Hampton at 2-4. The game is expected to be a low-scoring, defensive battle, with both teams struggling offensively and defensively. The Spartans are favored by a narrow margin, reflecting the parity between the two squads.
Key Factors to Consider
- Norfolk State averages 78.6 points per game (ranked 222nd in field goal percentage) and allows 64.6 points per game. Hampton averages 71.2 points per game (ranked 298th in scoring) and allows 69.5 points per game. Hampton's offense is particularly inefficient, shooting just 41.4% from the field and 29.4% from three-point range. Norfolk State has struggled defensively, allowing 34.8 rebounds per game and 11.4 assists per game.
- Recent head-to-head matchups have been tight, with both teams trading wins and losses. The last meeting saw Norfolk State win by a narrow margin, but the overall series is evenly split.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Norfolk State's home venue, Joseph G. Echols Memorial Hall, which could provide a slight home-court advantage. Weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game.
- Both teams are looking to improve their records and gain momentum early in the season. Norfolk State has a slight edge in motivation, having lost their last game and looking to bounce back at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hampton Pirates: 100, Norfolk St Spartans: -120 | Norfolk St Spartans | Not available |
| Spread | Hampton Pirates: 1.5 -118, Norfolk St Spartans: -1.5 -102 | Norfolk St Spartans | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 132.5 -108, Under: 132.5 -112 | Over | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Norfolk St Spartans 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 132.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 132.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Norfolk State is favored to win this game, with a predicted final score of 70-68. The Spartans' home advantage and slightly better offensive efficiency give them the edge, but the game is expected to be close and low-scoring.
Predicted Score: Norfolk State 70-68 Hampton Pirates