Match Analysis: South Dakota St Jackrabbits vs Georgia St Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: First Bank & Trust Arena, Brookings, SD
Game Overview
This NCAAB matchup features the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (3-2) hosting the Georgia State Panthers (1-4) at First Bank & Trust Arena. The Jackrabbits are strong favorites, with a significant spread and moneyline edge, reflecting their superior recent form and home dominance. Georgia State has struggled offensively and defensively, while South Dakota State boasts a high-scoring offense and a solid home record.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Dakota State averages 91 points per game on 45.8% shooting, allowing 80.5 points per game. Georgia State averages just 65.2 points per game on 36.9% shooting and allows 67.8 points per game. South Dakota State has won 19 of its last 20 home games against non-AP-ranked opponents, while Georgia State has lost 15 of its last 16 road night games against non-conference opponents.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team.
- South Dakota State has a strong home-court advantage, with a dominant record at First Bank & Trust Arena. The game is being played on a Friday night, which may impact player focus and crowd energy.
- South Dakota State is motivated to maintain their home dominance and build momentum for the season. Georgia State is looking to break a losing streak and improve their road performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia St Panthers: 600, South Dakota St Jackrabbits: -900 | South Dakota St Jackrabbits | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Georgia St Panthers: 12.5 -110, South Dakota St Jackrabbits: -12.5 -110 | South Dakota St Jackrabbits | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 144.5 -105, Under: 144.5 -115 | Over | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Dakota St Jackrabbits 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 144.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 144.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Dakota State is expected to win this game comfortably, but the spread is significant, making it a challenging cover. The Jackrabbits' strong home record and offensive firepower should be enough to secure a victory, but Georgia State's defensive struggles may keep the game closer than the spread suggests.
Predicted Score: South Dakota State 88, Georgia State 72