Match Analysis: Marist Red Foxes vs Army Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: McCann Arena, Poughkeepsie, NY
Game Overview
Marist Red Foxes host Army Black Knights in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Marist enters with a 2-2 record, having shown strong home form and balanced scoring, while Army struggles at 1-4, allowing high points and lacking consistency. The game is expected to be a showcase of Marist's home-court advantage and Army's defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marist is 2-2, with both wins at home and a balanced attack led by Rhyjon Blackwell (15.8 PPG). Army is 1-4, averaging 91 points allowed in their last three games, with four players averaging double figures but poor defensive efficiency. Marist has had a different leading rebounder in each game, indicating depth and adaptability.
- Marist leads the all-time series 12-11. Recent matchups have been close, with four of the last five games decided by four points or less, and two home games going to overtime. Marist holds a slight edge in points scored (1,662-1,648) in the series.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is played at McCann Arena, Marist's home court, which has historically been a tough venue for visitors. The matchup is part of Marist's six-game home stand, providing familiarity and crowd support.
- Marist seeks to extend their home winning streak and capitalize on Army's defensive struggles. Army aims to end a four-game losing streak and improve their road performance, but their recent form and defensive issues are major concerns.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army Knights: 1000, Marist Red Foxes: -1800 | Marist Red Foxes | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Army Knights: 14.5 -102, Marist Red Foxes: -14.5 -118 | Marist Red Foxes -14.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 129.5 -110, Under: 129.5 -110 | Over 129.5 | β β β β β 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marist Red Foxes -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 129.5 53% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 129.5 at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marist is favored to win decisively due to their home advantage, balanced scoring, and Army's defensive woes. The Red Foxes are likely to cover the spread and push the total over, given Army's tendency to allow high scores.
Predicted Score: Marist Red Foxes 78, Army Black Knights 68