Match Analysis: Hartford Wolf Pack vs W-B/Scranton Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: PeoplesBank Arena, Hartford, CT
Game Overview
The Hartford Wolf Pack will face the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in a regular-season AHL game. The Wolf Pack are playing on home ice at the newly renovated PeoplesBank Arena. The Penguins are favored on the moneyline, reflecting recent strong form and depth under head coach Kirk MacDonald. Both teams have a competitive Atlantic Division matchup history, with the Penguins having home and several encounters this season, including a recent opening loss for Hartford against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton. The game is critical for Hartford to improve their record and for Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to maintain their momentum in the division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hartford has had mixed results recently, including a 3-2 OT win over Springfield to snap a losing streak and a previous loss to the Penguins 5-2 early this season. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton has shown more consistency and offensive strength, often outshooting opponents and maintaining possession advantage in recent encounters. The Penguins have also leveraged power plays effectively. Hartford's recent performances illustrate potential but inconsistency.
- The two teams have multiple meetings scheduled this season, with the Penguins taking early wins and outplaying Hartford on key occasions. The Atlantic Division rivalry adds intensity. Historical data shows Penguins holding a slight edge in previous matchups.
- No specific injury updates were found for either team at this time, indicating likely full rosters or minimal impact absences.
- The match is played in Hartford's newly renovated PeoplesBank Arena with home crowd support. Travel schedules favor the Wolf Pack resting at home after previous travels. Weather or other external unforeseeable factors are not reported to impact the game.
- Hartford is motivated to recover after early losing streaks and leverage home advantage to gain critical Atlantic Division points. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton aims to continue its positive momentum and assert dominance in the division, sustaining pressure on division rivals.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hartford Wolf Pack: 143, W-B/Scranton Penguins: -215 | W-B/Scranton Penguins | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Hartford Wolf Pack +1.5: -182, W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5: 133 | Hartford Wolf Pack +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -109, Under 5.5: -124 | Under 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins -19% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins are favored to win this matchup given their recent superior form and moneyline odds, with Hartford likely to contest closely due to home advantage but potentially falling short.
Predicted Score: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins 3 – 2 Hartford Wolf Pack