Match Analysis: Kentucky Wildcats vs Loyola (MD) Greyhounds – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
Game Overview
Kentucky Wildcats (3-2) host Loyola (MD) Greyhounds (2-4) at Rupp Arena in a college basketball NCAAB matchup. Kentucky enters favored with superior talent, depth, rebounding, and offensive efficiency, while Loyola Maryland is struggling with a 2-4 record and less consistent shooting and defense. Kentucky aims to leverage size and pace to dictate the game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kentucky has a 3-2 record, averaging about 95 points per game with strong rebounding (39.2 RPG) and efficient offense (108.2 points per 100 possessions). Loyola MD is 2-4, averaging around 75 points per game, shooting less efficiently, and giving up 92.5 points per 100 possessions. Kentucky's defense suppresses opponent shooting, especially from deep (holding teams to 30.4%). Loyola has lost 7 of its past 10 games and has struggled to find offensive consistency.
- No detailed historical head-to-head data found for recent matchups, but Kentucky dominates in overall team quality and talent level. Past large spreads favor Kentucky covering by large margins in similar matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting this matchup.
- Game played at Kentuckyβs home venue Rupp Arena, giving Wildcats home-court advantage. Public betting heavily favors Kentucky with 100% of bets on their side according to some sources, indicating strong confidence from bookmakers' customers.
- Kentucky seeks to assert dominance after mixed early-season results (1 loss at home). Loyola MD motivated as underdog to keep game respectable, but likely lack firepower to sustain. Kentucky expected to respond with high effort after recent close performances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kentucky: -1800 (implied), Loyola (MD): +1200 (implied) | Kentucky to win | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Kentucky -34.5 (-120), Loyola +34.5 (-102) | Kentucky to cover -34.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 154.5 (-110), Under 154.5 (-110) | Over 154.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kentucky Wildcats are strongly favored to win both straight up and against the spread, likely covering the large -34.5 spread due to superior talent depth, rebounding, and offense. The game total leans towards the over given Kentucky's offensive pace and Loyola's defensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Kentucky Wildcats 88, Loyola (MD) Greyhounds 69