Match Analysis: Stonehill Skyhawks vs Lafayette Leopards – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: DeGol Arena, Easton, MA
Game Overview
The NCAA Men's Basketball game between Stonehill Skyhawks and Lafayette Leopards features two struggling teams early in the 2025 season. Stonehill plays at home in DeGol Arena, Easton, MA. Both teams have shown inconsistent form, with Stonehill holding a 1-5 record and Lafayette at 1-4. This game is critical for both teams to generate momentum in the early season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stonehill has a slightly poorer record (1-5) compared to Lafayette (1-4), but Stonehillβs home advantage and recent strong performances such as a 90-83 win at Lafayette previously make them competitive. Both teams struggle with rebounding and defense, with Stonehill allowing a higher opponent field goal percentage and rebounding deficit. Lafayette has a better field goal percentage defensively and on offense but are inconsistent overall.
- Historically, Stonehill won the last recorded meeting 90-83 at Lafayette, indicating competitive matchups with slight edge to Stonehill. Recent history suggests close games, indicating likely tight contest.
- No specific injuries reported for either side from available data, suggesting both teams likely to field their regular starters.
- Game is played indoors at Stonehill's DeGol Arena which favors Stonehill. Early season form and coaching strategies can heavily influence outcomes as teams settle.
- Both teams have similar poor starts to the season and motivation to end early losing streaks. Stonehill may have extra motivation playing at home while Lafayette seeks to prove resilience on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lafayette Leopards: -122, Stonehill Skyhawks: 102 | Stonehill Skyhawks | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Lafayette Leopards: -1.5 -108, Stonehill Skyhawks: +1.5 -112 | Stonehill Skyhawks +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over: 144.5 -115, Under: 144.5 -105 | Under 144.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stonehill Skyhawks 9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stonehill Skyhawks are predicted to edge out Lafayette Leopards in a closely contested match driven by home court advantage and slightly better recent performance.
Predicted Score: Stonehill Skyhawks 73 – 69 Lafayette Leopards