Match Analysis: KRC Genk vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Luminus Arena
Game Overview
UEFA Europa League group stage match featuring KRC Genk hosting Ferencváros TC. Genk are slight favorites at home with moderate odds, but historical and form data suggest a tight contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- KRC Genk have shown decent home strength but mixed recent form. Ferencváros have been defensively solid and effective at managing games away from home, with recent performances indicating a disciplined, low-scoring style.
- No strong historical dominance; teams have displayed balanced encounters previously, neither side clearly outperforming the other in prior European matches.
- No significant injuries reported affecting key starters from either side ahead of this match.
- Match played at Genk's home ground, with the usual home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard with no reported disruptions.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points early in group play; Ferencváros may be slightly more incentivized to earn at least a draw in an away fixture.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ferencváros TC: +420, KRC Genk: -181, Draw: +340 | KRC Genk | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Ferencváros TC +1: -118, KRC Genk -1: -112 | KRC Genk -1 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 3: -120, Under 3: -110 | Under 3 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | KRC Genk -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
KRC Genk moneyline win, KRC Genk -1 spread, under 3 goals total
Predicted Score: 2-0