Match Analysis: Bologna vs SC Freiburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Game Overview
Bologna hosts SC Freiburg in a tightly contested UEFA Europa League match where both teams show careful tactical approaches, with Freiburg slightly favored on recent form and European experience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bologna is struggling to find consistent form in Serie A and Europa League, currently without points in the competition. Freiburg started their Europa League campaign with a strong 2-1 win and show better recent momentum.
- Limited recent direct encounters, no clear dominant pattern; both teams are evenly matched on historical grounds, suggesting a close contest.
- Bologna will miss key players Nicolo Casale and Ibrahim Sulemana; Tommaso Pobega has returned from injury. Freiburg has a doubtful defender, Lukas Kubler, which may affect defensive solidity.
- Match played at Bologna's home ground, which offers some advantage, but motivation and current form favor Freiburg slightly. Both teams are expected to play cautiously given Europa League group stage stakes.
- Freiburg seeks to maintain their winning momentum in Europe, while Bologna aims to gain their first points in the group, creating motivation on both sides for a competitive match.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bologna: +108, SC Freiburg: +255, Draw: +230 | Draw | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Bologna -0.25: -130, SC Freiburg +25: +100 | SC Freiburg +0.25 | β β β ββ 64% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -130 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 22% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1