Match Analysis: Norwich City vs West Bromwich Albion – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-01
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Carrow Road, Norwich
Game Overview
The EFL Championship match features Norwich City hosting West Bromwich Albion. Historically balanced but slightly favoring Norwich at home, both teams have shown competitive form in recent matchups with a mix of wins and draws. The odds show a slight favoritism for West Brom on the moneyline with a close spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- Norwich have been solid at home with notable goal contributors like Joshua Sargent (5 goals) and Jovon Makama (2 goals). West Bromwich Albion has shown balanced performance with key players like Isaac Price (3 goals). Both teams have played closely contested matches recently.
- Recent five competitive matches show a balanced record: Norwich 1 win, West Brom 1 win, and 2 draws, including a 2-2 draw at West Brom and a 2-0 Norwich home win earlier this year, indicating competitive matches with relatively tight scores.
- No major injury details reported from available data, suggesting both teams can field near full-strength squads.
- No significant external factors like weather, travel fatigue, or large absences impacting this match.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the season to improve Championship standings, with Norwich eager to capitalize on home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Norwich City: 180, West Bromwich Albion: 134, Draw: 235 | West Bromwich Albion | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Norwich City +25: -125, West Bromwich Albion -0.25: 105 | West Bromwich Albion -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | West Bromwich Albion 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: West Bromwich Albion at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
West Bromwich Albion to win on the moneyline, cover the spread (-0.25), and the match to go under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-2