Match Analysis: Derby County vs Charlton Athletic – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pride Park Stadium
Game Overview
A mid-table clash in the EFL Championship between Derby County and Charlton Athletic. Derby are struggling with form and sit low in the table, while Charlton are in solid form after a strong start following their promotion.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlton Athletic have shown stronger performance early in the season with 3 wins and 2 draws in 7 matches, currently placed 12th, while Derby County have only 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, sitting 22nd with poor goal difference.
- Out of 91 meetings, Charlton lead with 39 wins to Derbyβs 32, with 20 draws between them. This historical edge favors Charlton.
- No specific injury updates disclosed, but Derbyβs lack of form suggests possible squad issues; Charlton appears healthier and more stable.
- Derby has home advantage but is under pressure to climb out of relegation threatened zone. Charlton is motivated to maintain their strong position in the upper mid-table.
- Derby County are desperate for points to escape the relegation zone, likely boosting their fight on home soil. Charlton are motivated to build on recent strong performances and continue pushing for a higher table position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Derby County: +151, Charlton Athletic: +178, Draw: +205 | Charlton Athletic | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Derby County: -122, Charlton Athletic: +102 | Charlton Athletic +0 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -105 | Under 2 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlton Athletic 31% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charlton Athletic at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlton Athletic to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: 0-1