Match Analysis: Hull City vs Preston North End – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: MKM Stadium, Hull, England
Game Overview
Hull City, currently 18th in the Championship with mixed form, hosts Preston North End, who sit 6th and have shown more consistent results this season. Both teams possess vulnerabilities but Preston have demonstrated defensive solidity and are motivated to climb higher in the table.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hull City has struggled recently with a 2-1 away loss to Watford, while Preston managed a goalless draw with Bristol City, including a strong performance by their goalkeeper Daniel Iversen. Prestonβs better defensive form and higher league position reflect their relative strength.
- Over 73 meetings, Preston leads narrowly with 31 wins to Hull's 26, and 16 draws, indicating a competitive but slightly Preston-favored past.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side at this time, suggesting both teams can field near full strength lineups.
- The match is at Hullβs home ground, which theoretically offers home advantage, but Hullβs form diminishes that edge. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported as a factor.
- Preston is highly motivated to climb as high as second place; Hull aims to avoid sliding down the table, creating strong incentives for both teams.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 115, away: 220, draw: 225 | Hull City | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | home: -0.25 -110, away: 25 -110 | Hull City -0.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
Over/under | over: -118, under: -102 | Under 2.25 Goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hull City 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite Hull Cityβs home advantage, Preston North Endβs stronger form, solidity, and motivation to improve their league standing justify backing Preston on the moneyline and double chance markets. Given the defensive tendencies and recent low-scoring matches, an under 2.5 goals prediction holds value.
Predicted Score: 1-0