Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Southampton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Sheffield United Home Stadium
Game Overview
A tightly matched EFL Championship game between Sheffield United and Southampton, with both sides showing mixed recent form and strong historical competitiveness.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sheffield United has won 2 of their last 5 (losing 3), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Southampton have struggled more recently, winning only 1 of their last 5 with a low scoring rate (0.6 goals per match) but conceding 2.6 on average.
- Southampton lead the overall H2H with 6 wins to Sheffield's 4 wins out of 12 games since 2005. However, recent matchups show Sheffield United performing more competitively. Southampton scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 meetings.
- No specific injury data provided, indicating no notable absences reported for key players from either side in the upcoming fixture.
- No direct external factors such as weather or travel appear impactful; Sheffield benefits slightly from home advantage.
- Both teams are motivated to improve league standing. Sheffield United has a slight momentum edge based on recent performance and home field status.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sheffield United: +152, Southampton: +156, Draw: +235 | Sheffield United | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Sheffield United -0: -112, Southampton -0: -108 | Sheffield United -0 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sheffield United 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Sheffield United win; Spread: Sheffield United -0; Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1