Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Syracuse Orange – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
Game Overview
The 9th-ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-2) host the Syracuse Orange (3-7) at Notre Dame Stadium. The Fighting Irish enter as heavy favorites with an 8-2 record, significantly outperforming Syracuseโs 3-7. Notre Dame's recent form and strong home performance position them as dominant contenders against the struggling Syracuse team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame is 8-2 with a strong offensive output averaging above 56 points per game at home. They have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and frequently hit totals over the set line. Syracuse struggles with a 3-7 record and weaker defensive performance, making it challenging to stay competitive against top teams like Notre Dame.
- Recent matchups have favored Notre Dame significantly, reflected in the large spread (around -35.5 points). The historical dominance of Notre Dame over Syracuse is consistent with the current odds and performance metrics.
- No specific injuries were reported that would severely impact the starting lineups or overall team performance for either side leading into this game.
- Weather is forecasted at 47ยฐF with no rain, favorable conditions for a high-scoring football game at Notre Dame Stadium. The venue provides a strong home-field advantage given the Fighting Irish's familiarity and crowd support.
- Notre Dame is motivated to maintain their top-10 ranking and secure a strong finish to their season, while Syracuse faces an uphill battle with only three wins, aiming to avoid a blowout and salvage some pride.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -3500, Syracuse Orange: +1600 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | โ โ โ โ โ 90% |
| Spread | Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -35.5 -110, Syracuse Orange: +35.5 -110 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish to cover -35.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105 | Over 50.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 50.5 31% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame is predicted to win decisively, covering the large spread of -35.5. The high scoring nature of Notre Dameโs offense and Syracuseโs defensive struggles suggest the total score will go over the 50.5 points line.
Predicted Score: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 49 – 14 Syracuse Orange