Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 7:10 PM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners host the Los Angeles Dodgers with Mariners having a slight home edge but facing Clayton Kershaw, a dominant and experienced pitcher, against their less consistent starter Bryce Miller.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers lead the season 92-69, while Mariners are close at 90-71. Dodgers are on a 4-game win streak including a recent 5-3 series win over the Mariners. Mariners have stronger home record (51-29), but Dodgers are solid on the road (40-40).
- Kershaw has dominated against the Mariners with a 4-0 record and 2.03 ERA in last five starts, sustaining his season strong form (10-2, 3.52 ERA). Marinersβ Bryce Miller is struggling overall (4-5, 5.53 ERA) and untested against Dodgers with only minor appearances.
- No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact starting pitching or batting lineups in this matchup.
- Game played at Marinersβ home stadium T-Mobile Park, which typically benefits the home team due to familiarity and ballpark factors favoring pitchers. Weather conditions are stable and not expected to affect gameplay.
- Both teams are in playoff contention late in the season; Dodgers slightly better positioned for postseason seeding, potentially increasing their motivation to secure a road win. Mariners motivated to defend home turf and keep pace in standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers: +101, Seattle Mariners: -111 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5: -212, Seattle Mariners -1.5: +181 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8: -110, Under 8: -110 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners win moneyline, Mariners cover spread, and total runs go under 8
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4 – Los Angeles Dodgers 2