Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs UConn Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
Game Overview
The Florida Atlantic Owls host the UConn Huskies in their final regular season matchup of 2025. UConn enters the game with an 8-3 record and as one of only two Group of Five teams to earn two wins over Power Four opponents this season. The Huskies are coming off a 26-16 victory over Air Force and are seeking their ninth win, which would mark the first time in program history they achieve back-to-back 9-win seasons. FAU, at 4-6, are looking to finish strong after a mixed season, with recent losses to Tulane and South Florida. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+ and is expected to be a competitive matchup with implications for both teams' postseason aspirations.
Key Factors to Consider
- UConn has shown strong offensive and defensive balance, averaging over 6 yards per carry in their last game and maintaining a winning record against Power Four competition. FAU has struggled defensively, allowing over 30 points in several games, but have shown flashes of offensive capability, scoring over 40 points in three of their wins. UConnโs ability to control the run game and limit turnovers will be crucial.
- UConn has dominated the recent series, going 4-0 against FAU last season, including a 48-14 win at home. The Huskies have won the last three meetings by an average margin of 22 points. FAUโs last win over UConn was in 2021.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their starting lineups.
- The game will be played at Flagler Credit Union Stadium, FAUโs home field, which could provide a slight edge for the Owls. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play. The game is part of FAUโs Hometown Team Day, which may boost home crowd support.
- UConn is motivated to secure a 9-win season and potentially a bowl berth, while FAU is looking to end the season on a high note and avoid a losing record. The Huskiesโ recent success and momentum give them a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls: 225, UConn Huskies: -278 | UConn Huskies | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Florida Atlantic Owls: 7 -105, UConn Huskies: -7 -115 | UConn Huskies -7 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | over: 65.5 -112, under: 65.5 -108 | Over 65.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 65.5 4% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 65.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn is favored to win this matchup, with their superior record, recent form, and historical dominance over FAU. The Huskiesโ ability to control the run game and limit turnovers should be key factors. FAU will need to capitalize on any mistakes and maintain a strong defensive effort to have a chance.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 38 – Florida Atlantic Owls 28