Match Analysis: Wyoming Cowboys vs Nevada Wolf Pack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, Wyoming
Game Overview
The Wyoming Cowboys (4-6) host the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-8) in a Mountain West Conference matchup on November 22, 2025. Wyoming enters as the clear favorite, with strong home-field trends and a defensive edge, while Nevada struggles on the road and in conference play. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with a total set at 40.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wyoming averages 17.8 points per game (128th nationally) and allows 20.6 (33rd), while Nevada scores 18.1 (125th) and gives up 28.1 (92nd). Wyoming has covered the spread in 7 of its last 8 home games in November, while Nevada has lost 10 straight road games and failed to cover in 4 of its last 5 November games as an underdog. Wyoming is 5-5 ATS, 2-8 O/U; Nevada is 5-5 ATS, 4-6 O/U.
- Recent history favors Wyoming, especially at home. The home team has won each of Wyomingโs last five games, and Wyoming has covered the spread in 7 of its last 8 home games in November. Nevada has lost the first half in 7 of its last 8 conference games.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Weather in Laramie is expected to be cold and potentially windy, which could suppress scoring. The game is played at high altitude, which may favor Wyomingโs familiarity with the conditions.
- Wyoming is fighting for bowl eligibility and a winning conference record, while Nevada is eliminated from postseason contention and has struggled all season, especially away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wyoming -250, Nevada +205 | Wyoming Cowboys | โ โ โ โ โ 83% |
| Spread | Wyoming -6.5 (-115), Nevada +6.5 (-105) | Wyoming Cowboys cover | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 40.5 (-105), Under 40.5 (-115) | Over | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wyoming Cowboys -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 40.5 2% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wyoming is favored to win and cover the spread, with a strong defensive performance expected. The game is likely to be low-scoring, but recent trends suggest the over may hit due to Nevadaโs inability to stop opponents and Wyomingโs recent offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Wyoming 24, Nevada 17