Match Analysis: Georgia Southern Eagles vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA
Game Overview
This Sun Belt Conference matchup pits the Georgia Southern Eagles (5-5) against the Old Dominion Monarchs (7-3) on Senior Day for Georgia Southern. Old Dominion enters as clear favorites, with a strong rushing attack and a defense that has held opponents to low scores in recent weeks. Georgia Southern has shown offensive explosiveness, highlighted by a 648-yard performance in their last game, but has struggled defensively. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of putting up points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion has been dominant on the ground, averaging 7.5 yards per rush in their last game and totaling 351 rushing yards against Troy. Their defense has allowed only 14.3 points per game over their last four contests. Georgia Southern has averaged 38.2 points per game over their last three, but has allowed 32.7 points per game in the same span. Their defense has given up 42, 59, and 40 points in losses to Fresno State, USC, and Arkansas State.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup. Both teams are in the Sun Belt Conference, but have not played each other in recent seasons.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game will be played at Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Georgia Southern's home field. The weather is expected to be favorable, with no adverse conditions reported. The game is scheduled for 1:00 PM EST (18:00 UTC), which may impact player performance due to the late afternoon sun.
- Georgia Southern is playing for bowl eligibility and to finish the season on a high note, especially with Senior Day and a Blue Out theme. Old Dominion is looking to solidify their bowl position and cap off a strong season with a win on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia Southern Eagles: 360, Old Dominion Monarchs: -460 | Old Dominion Monarchs | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Georgia Southern Eagles: 12.5 -115, Old Dominion Monarchs: -12.5 -105 | Old Dominion Monarchs -12.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 62.5 -110, Under: 62.5 -110 | Over 62.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 62.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 62.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion is favored to win this game due to their superior rushing attack and recent defensive performances. Georgia Southern's offense is capable of scoring, but their defense has struggled against high-powered offenses. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with Old Dominion likely to cover the spread.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion 41, Georgia Southern 34