Match Analysis: Arizona Wildcats vs Baylor Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 22, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona
Game Overview
Arizona Wildcats host Baylor Bears in a Big 12 conference matchup. Arizona enters as the favorite with a 7-3 overall record and 4-3 Big 12 mark, currently on a 3-game winning streak. Baylor arrives as underdogs with a 5-5 overall record and 3-4 Big 12 record, coming off a disappointing 55-28 home loss to No. 13 Utah.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona has momentum with recent victories including a 30-24 win over No. 22 Cincinnati, a 24-20 victory against Kansas, and a 52-17 dominant road win at Colorado. Baylor has struggled, losing three home games this season and dropping their last contest decisively. Arizona's defense has shown improvement while Baylor's defensive unit has been vulnerable, particularly in recent losses.
- Historical matchup data between these programs is not available in the provided search results. This appears to be a relatively neutral matchup from a historical perspective, though Arizona's current form suggests dominance.
- Specific injury information is not provided in the available search results. Key injury updates for both teams would be critical factors in refining this analysis.
- Arizona is playing at home in a Senior Day atmosphere, which typically provides emotional and environmental advantages. The game is televised on TNT/HBO, indicating prime-time viewership. Baylor faces travel fatigue heading to Arizona and must deal with the hostile environment at Arizona Stadium.
- Arizona has strong motivation to secure a bowl-eligible season with wins over ranked opponents on their resume. Baylor desperately needs a win to improve their bowl prospects and stop the bleeding from recent losses. However, Arizona's recent success and home-field advantage provide stronger psychological momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona -250 | Baylor +205 | Arizona Wildcats | โ โ โ โ โ 78% |
| Spread | Arizona -6.5 (-120) | Baylor +6.5 (-102) | Arizona Wildcats -6.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 62.5 (-105) | Under 62.5 (-115) | Under 62.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 62.5 -3% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Arizona Wildcats at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Wildcats are strongly favored and should win this matchup convincingly. The combination of home-field advantage, superior recent form, a 3-game winning streak, and momentum gives Arizona clear advantages. Baylor, despite needing this win, arrives in poor form with multiple home losses and lacks the offensive firepower to overcome Arizona's defensive improvements. Arizona should win by a touchdown or more.
Predicted Score: Arizona 28, Baylor 17