Match Analysis: Oklahoma Sooners vs Missouri Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 22, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Game Overview
The No. 8 Oklahoma Sooners (8-2, 4-2 SEC) host the No. 23 Missouri Tigers (7-3, 3-3 SEC) in a crucial SEC matchup. Oklahoma enters as significant favorites with a 7.5-point spread, backed by their fourth-ranked rushing defense. Missouri, despite being ranked lower, presents a competitive challenge with a respectable 7-3 record and a 9-4 ATS record overall. This game carries implications for both teams' SEC tournament positioning, with Oklahoma currently ahead in conference standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oklahoma's defensive prowess, particularly their fourth-ranked rushing defense, provides a significant edge. The Sooners maintain a 5-4-1 ATS record overall with strong home splits (1-3-1 ATS at home). Missouri's defensive unit ranks 17th in rushing defense and maintains a solid 9-4 ATS record with excellent home performance (6-2-0 ATS away from home). Oklahoma averages 49.9 points total with an implied total of 32.1, while Missouri averages 50.5 points total with an implied total of 32.8, suggesting similar offensive capabilities.
- No specific historical head-to-head data is available in the current search results. Both teams are SEC conference members, indicating recent scheduling within the conference format, though their last meeting details are not provided.
- No injury information is available from the provided search results. Further research into team injury reports would be necessary for a complete analysis.
- Oklahoma plays at home, a significant advantage in college football. The game is scheduled for midday (12 PM ET) on Saturday, a standard college football broadcast slot with ABC television coverage providing national exposure. Weather conditions and travel factors are not specified in available data.
- Oklahoma, ranked higher and with playoff aspirations, is motivated to maintain their winning trajectory and secure conference positioning. Missouri seeks to prove their ranking legitimacy and capture a significant road victory against a top-10 opponent. Both teams have SEC tournament implications at stake.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma -295 / Missouri +240 | Oklahoma Sooners Victory | โ โ โ โ โ 72% |
| Spread | Oklahoma -7.5 (-106) / Missouri +7.5 (-114) | Oklahoma -7.5 | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 41.5 (-110) / Under 41.5 (-110) | Under 41.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma Sooners 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Oklahoma Sooners at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma Sooners will defeat Missouri Tigers 24-17, covering the 7.5-point spread. The defensive matchup favors Oklahoma's fourth-ranked rushing defense against Missouri's offense, while Oklahoma's home-field advantage and higher ranking provide additional edge. Missouri's solid defensive unit will keep the game competitive, preventing a blowout despite Oklahoma's superiority.
Predicted Score: Oklahoma 24, Missouri 17