Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa
Game Overview
The Iowa State Cyclones host the Kansas Jayhawks in a Big 12 Conference matchup during Week 13 of the 2025 college football season. Iowa State enters as the home favorite with a 6-4 overall record and 3-4 Big 12 record, while Kansas comes in at 5-5 overall with a 3-4 Big 12 conference mark. This is a critical late-season game for both teams, with bowl eligibility implications. The Cyclones are favored by 4.5 points, reflecting their home-field advantage and slightly superior regular season record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa State has demonstrated inconsistency this season with a 6-4 record. The team won their most recent game and currently holds a one-game winning streak. Kansas, at 5-5, is still searching for their sixth win to secure bowl eligibility. Both teams sit at 3-4 in Big 12 play, indicating competitive conference matchups. Iowa State's home record shows strength with 3 wins at home versus 2 away wins, while Kansas has struggled on the road with 2 away wins against 2 away losses.
- Specific head-to-head historical data between these teams for the 2025 season is not available in the search results. However, the betting markets strongly favor Iowa State, suggesting the Cyclones have performed better relative to expectations or have stronger recent form.
- Injury information for either team is not provided in the available search results. This represents a significant unknown factor that could influence game outcomes, particularly regarding key players on either side.
- The game is scheduled for 11:00 AM CT kickoff on a Saturday, which typically favors the home team with established routines. Iowa State's home-field advantage at Jack Trice Stadium is a notable factor. Weather conditions for Ames, Iowa in late November could affect passing games and field conditions, though specific forecasts are not available.
- Both teams are fighting for bowl eligibility and postseason positioning. For Kansas, this represents a critical road game in their final Big 12 road trip of the season, adding urgency to their performance. Iowa State, playing at home, has the advantage of potentially clinching a more favorable bowl destination with a win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa State -180 / Kansas +152 | Iowa State Cyclones Win | โ โ โ โ โ 72% |
| Spread | Iowa State -4.5 (-105) / Kansas +4.5 (-115) | Iowa State Cyclones -4.5 | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 55.5 (-105) / Under 55.5 (-115) | Under 55.5 | โ โ โ โโ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa State Cyclones 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 55.5 -2% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Iowa State Cyclones at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa State Cyclones are predicted to win this matchup. The combination of home-field advantage, superior regular season record, and bookmaker confidence (reflected in the -180 moneyline) strongly suggests an Iowa State victory. The Cyclones' 3-win home record compared to Kansas's 2-win away record further supports this prediction. Iowa State should be able to control the game at Jack Trice Stadium.
Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 27, Kansas Jayhawks 20