Match Analysis: Army Black Knights vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Michie Stadium, West Point, New York
Game Overview
The Army Black Knights (5-4) face the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-7) on Saturday, November 22, 2025, in a non-conference American college football matchup. Army is the heavy favorite playing at home, with expectations to dominate both the moneyline and spread markets. The over/under is set at a moderate 45.5 points reflecting projected moderate scoring from both teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Army has a better record and demonstrated strong home performance with an implied average of ~29 points per game at home and a spread ATS record of 0-4 at home, showing some challenges covering at home. Tulsaโs offense shows high total points averages both overall and on the road (~54.7 and 55.5 respectively), but their 3-7 overall record reflects defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency.
- Historical specific head-to-head data is limited, but current betting lines and expert picks indicate a clear advantage for Army due to superior record, home advantage, and probable defensive edge.
- No significant injury reports for either team have been found in the latest data.
- Army playing at home provides a strong external advantage at Michie Stadium. Weather conditions are not reported as impactful. The time of the game (noon ET) favors typical fan attendance and normal playing conditions.
- Army is motivated to secure a strong finish to the season and solidify standings, while Tulsa, with a losing record, may lack consistent motivation but could play as spoilers.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army Black Knights: -390, Tulsa Golden Hurricane: +310 | Army Black Knights | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Army Black Knights: -9.5 (-120), Tulsa Golden Hurricane: +9.5 (-102) | Army Black Knights to cover the -9.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 45.5: -105, Under 45.5: -115 | Over 45.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army Black Knights -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 45.5 17% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Army Black Knights to win comfortably, covering the spread with both teams combining for a score approaching the over/under line.
Predicted Score: Army Black Knights 31 – Tulsa Golden Hurricane 17