Match Analysis: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 22, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, Ohio
Game Overview
The undefeated No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0) host the struggling Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-5) in a massive matchup that heavily favors the home team. Ohio State enters as one of the most dominant programs in college football this season, while Rutgers faces an uphill battle against a team featuring the second-ranked passing defense in college football. This represents a significant talent and performance disparity, with Ohio State being heavily favored across all betting markets.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ohio State has been exceptional this season with a perfect 10-0 record and defensive prowess ranking second nationally in pass defense. The Buckeyes have won their last 5 consecutive games and maintain a 4-1 record against the spread over that span. Rutgers presents a mediocre 5-5 record with a 22nd-ranked passing offense (2,774 yards) compared to Ohio State's superior 2,795 passing yards on a far more efficient basis. Ohio State's home performance historically strong, while Rutgers struggles away from home (2-2-0 ATS record).
- No direct historical head-to-head comparison data is available in the search results. However, the massive 31.5-point spread indicates the market's assessment of a significant skill gap between these programs.
- No specific injury information is provided in the available search results. This represents a data gap that should be monitored closer to game time.
- Weather conditions at game time are favorable with 49ยฐF and 0% rain probability, eliminating weather as a factor. The game will be broadcast on FOX with significant media attention given Ohio State's undefeated status.
- Ohio State faces a potential look-ahead scenario with Michigan visiting next week, which could affect their intensity level. However, maintaining their undefeated record should provide strong motivation. Rutgers, despite being heavy underdogs, may be motivated to prove competitiveness in a marquee matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio State -9000 | Rutgers +2500 | Ohio State Buckeyes | โ โ โ โ โ 98% |
| Spread | Ohio State -31.5 (-105) | Rutgers +31.5 (-115) | Ohio State -31.5 (Cover) | โ โ โ โ โ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 54.5 (-112) | Under 54.5 (-108) | Under 54.5 | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio State Buckeyes -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 54.5 4% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ohio State will decisively defeat Rutgers. The Buckeyes' superior talent, undefeated record, elite defense, and home-field advantage create a mismatch that the betting market has accurately assessed. While Rutgers may manage to keep the game within reasonable parameters during certain stretches, Ohio State's dominance should ultimately prevail by a comfortable margin. The primary question is not whether Ohio State wins, but whether Rutgers can cover the substantial spread or if the game stays under the total points.
Predicted Score: Ohio State 38, Rutgers 10