Match Analysis: RC Lens vs Strasbourg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, France
Game Overview
This Ligue 1 clash features RC Lens, currently in 3rd place and in contention for UEFA Champions League qualification, hosting Strasbourg, who sit 4th and are also pushing for European spots. Both teams are in strong form, with Lens having a slight edge at home and Strasbourg showing resilience away from home. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides capable of scoring and defending well.
Key Factors to Consider
- RC Lens has been in excellent form, winning 6 of their last 18 meetings with Strasbourg and maintaining a strong position in the league. Strasbourg has also been competitive, winning two away games recently and showing a solid defensive record. Lens averages 1.67 goals scored per game and 1.0 allowed, while Strasbourg averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.0 allowed.
- The head-to-head record is closely matched. Across 21 meetings, Lens has won 9, Strasbourg 6, and there have been 6 draws. In the last 6 encounters, Lens has won 3, Strasbourg 2, and 1 ended in a draw. Lens has a slight edge in recent form, but Strasbourg has shown the ability to compete and win.
- Lens has no unavailable players. Strasbourg is missing several key players due to injury: Ben Chilwell, Emanuel Emegha, Karl-Johan Johnsson, Maxi Oyedele, Saidou Sow, and Samuel Amo-Ameyaw. This could impact Strasbourg's defensive and midfield options.
- The match is being played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens's home ground, which provides a home advantage. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be favorable for both teams.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure a top-four finish and European qualification. Lens is aiming to maintain their position in the Champions League spots, while Strasbourg is looking to close the gap and potentially overtake Lens.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | RC Lens: 101, Strasbourg: 245, Draw: 260 | RC Lens to win | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Spread | RC Lens: -0.5 102, Strasbourg: 50 -122 | RC Lens -0.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.75 -125, Under: 2.75 105 | Under 2.75 | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | RC Lens -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 14% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home advantage, Lens's recent form, and Strasbourg's injury issues, Lens is favored to win. However, Strasbourg's resilience and the close head-to-head record suggest a tight match. A narrow victory for Lens is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-1