Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs South Dakota Coyotes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, Missouri
Game Overview
The Missouri Tigers (5-0) host the South Dakota Coyotes (3-2) in an NCAA college basketball matchup. Missouri is the overwhelming favorite with a 28.5-point spread and a moneyline of -30000, reflecting their dominant 5-game winning streak and strong offensive and defensive metrics. South Dakota is on a 3-game winning streak but remains a significant underdog at this venue.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri is excelling offensively with a 56.4% field goal percentage (4th in Division I) and averaging 91.4 points per game. Defensively, they limit opponents to 39.1% shooting and 70.4 points per game allowed. South Dakota shoots 33.3% from three and 42.4% overall in recent games, averaging 89.6 points per game. Missouri's rebounding and assist rates are higher, indicating greater control of the game pace.
- Missouri holds the advantage with a 5-0 record this season and strong historical ATS (against the spread) performances. South Dakota trails significantly in recent meetings and overall performance metrics.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting starters or key rotation players.
- The game is played at Missouri's home court, Mizzou Arena, providing a strong home-court advantage. Public betting heavily favors Missouri with nearly 100% of bets and money on the Tigers.
- Missouri aims to maintain their perfect record and assert dominance in early season play. South Dakota seeks to extend their winning streak and prove competitive despite being heavy underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | missouri: -30000, south_dakota: 4000 | Missouri Win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | missouri: -28.5 -105, south_dakota: +28.5 -115 | Missouri covers -28.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: 173.5 -115, under: 173.5 -105 | Under 173.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers 3836% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 173.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Missouri Tigers at 3836% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 95.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri Tigers are expected to win convincingly due to superior offensive efficiency, defensive capability, and home advantage, with a predicted scoreline of 90-73.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 90 – South Dakota Coyotes 73