Match Analysis: Iowa Hawkeyes vs Chicago St Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA
Game Overview
The Iowa Hawkeyes, currently undefeated at 4-0, host the Chicago State Cougars, who are winless at 0-5. Iowa is a heavy favorite, with a significant spread and a high total line, reflecting their offensive strength and Chicago State's defensive struggles. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams' recent performances indicating a likely over on the total points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa is averaging 89.5 points per game and shooting 57.9% from the field, ranking 1st in the country. Chicago State is averaging 66.2 points per game and shooting 41.2% from the field, ranking 341st in D-1. Iowa's defense is also strong, allowing only 64.8 points per game, while Chicago State allows 86.2 points per game.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available, but Iowa has a strong record against non-conference opponents, winning 42 of their last 44 games. Chicago State has lost 14 consecutive night games against non-conference opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA, giving Iowa a home-court advantage. The venue is known for its strong home support, which can impact the game's atmosphere and player performance.
- Iowa is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and continue their winning streak. Chicago State is looking to break their losing streak and secure their first win of the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa -20000, Chicago State +3300 | Iowa | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Chicago St Cougars +32.5 -110, Iowa Hawkeyes -32.5 -110 | Iowa -32.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 146.5 -108, Under 146.5 -112 | Over 146.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 146.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa is expected to win by a large margin, with a predicted score of 90-63. The game is likely to go over the total points line, with both teams' recent performances and offensive capabilities supporting this prediction.
Predicted Score: Iowa 90, Chicago State 63