Match Analysis: Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 20, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: McGuirk Arena, Mount Pleasant, Michigan
Game Overview
Central Michigan hosts Northern Kentucky in a matchup between two evenly-matched teams, both entering with 2-2 records looking to move above .500. Central Michigan has established home court advantage with a 2-0 home record, while Northern Kentucky enters as the road team with a 0-2 away record. The Chippewas are favored by 5.5 points, reflecting their home court advantage and slightly superior defensive metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Central Michigan averages 75.5 points per game (131st nationally) while allowing 72.2 points (191st), demonstrating balanced offensive and defensive capabilities. Northern Kentucky scores 71.8 points per game (239th) but allows a similar 72.0 points (182nd). Central Michigan's field goal percentage of 46.2% significantly outpaces Northern Kentucky's 43.8%, indicating superior shot efficiency. Northern Kentucky's recent performance includes a dominant 101-73 home victory against University of the Cumberlands, while Central Michigan won 82-59 at home against Coppin State. However, both teams struggle on the road, with Northern Kentucky 0-2 away and Central Michigan 0-2 away this season.
- No recent head-to-head historical data is available in the search results for direct comparison analysis. This is their matchup for the 2025-26 season.
- No injury information is currently available for either team as reported in the search results.
- Home court advantage heavily favors Central Michigan, as they are 2-0 at home while Northern Kentucky is 0-2 on the road. The Chippewas have covered the spread in 7 of their last 11 home games with a +2.60 units return on investment. Northern Kentucky has hit the first half game total over in 22 of their last 30 games, suggesting a faster-paced start may be expected.
- Both teams enter with identical 2-2 records and motivation to reach .500. Central Michigan benefits from home court momentum, while Northern Kentucky seeks to break their 0-2 away record and prove themselves on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Michigan -205 / Northern Kentucky +170 | Central Michigan Chippewas | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Central Michigan -5.5 (-105) / Northern Kentucky +5.5 (-115) | Central Michigan -5.5 | β β β ββ 57% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5 (-115) / Under 145.5 (-105) | Over 145.5 | β β β ββ 54% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Michigan Chippewas -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 145.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Central Michigan Chippewas at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Central Michigan Chippewas will cover the -5.5 spread and win the game outright. The home court advantage combined with superior field goal percentage and recent home success indicates the Chippewas should prevail by more than the point spread. Analysis suggests a 55-60% probability of success on the spread, representing a value bet at current odds.
Predicted Score: Central Michigan 77, Northern Kentucky 72 (Final Score: 77-72 CMU)