Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Pacific Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena, Boca Raton, FL
Game Overview
This NCAA Division I matchup features the Florida Atlantic Owls hosting the Pacific Tigers. Both teams enter with identical 3-1 records, but their recent performances and statistical profiles differ significantly. Florida Atlantic has shown strong home dominance, while Pacific has been explosive offensively, scoring over 130 points in 75% of their last eight games. The Owls are favored by 8.5 points, with a total set at 156.5, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida Atlantic Owls have averaged 84.25 points per game and allowed 76.5 points, with a strong home record (2-0) and a recent 92-63 win over Coastal Georgia. Pacific Tigers average 78.5 points per game but have allowed only 68.25 points, with a recent 85-73 road win over Cal State Fullerton. Pacific has scored over 130 points in 75% of their last eight games and over 75 in the first half in 62% of those games, indicating a fast-paced, high-scoring style.
- There is no prior head-to-head history between Florida Atlantic Owls and Pacific Tigers. This is their first meeting.
- No injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Florida Atlantic's home venue, which may provide a slight advantage. The total line of 156.5 suggests oddsmakers expect a high-scoring game, consistent with Pacific's recent offensive output.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Florida Atlantic seeks to maintain home dominance, while Pacific aims to continue its strong start and prove itself against a favored opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls: -355, Pacific Tigers: 280 | Florida Atlantic Owls | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Florida Atlantic Owls: -8.5 -108, Pacific Tigers: 8.5 -112 | Florida Atlantic Owls to cover | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5 -110, Under: 156.5 -110 | Over | β β β β β 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 53% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida Atlantic Owls are favored to win, but Pacific's recent offensive explosion and ability to score in bunches could make this a close game. The Owls' home advantage and defensive consistency should be enough to cover the spread, but the total is likely to go over given Pacific's scoring trends.
Predicted Score: Florida Atlantic Owls 86 – 78 Pacific Tigers