Match Analysis: Valencia Basket vs KK Crvena zvezda – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pabellon Municipal Fuente San Luis, Valencia
Game Overview
This Euroleague match between Valencia Basket (home) and KK Crvena Zvezda (away) features a clash between a strong Valencia team sitting at 2nd place in the league and KK Crvena Zvezda positioned 8th. Valencia Basket has shown consistent home form and holds a slight edge based on recent performances and head-to-head results, while Crvena Zvezda has been competitive but less consistent recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Valencia Basket has a recent form of around 73% wins in the Euroleague and domestic competitions, showing strong defensive and offensive stats including high shooting efficiency and rebounding. KK Crvena Zvezda holds about 55% wins and has exhibited more volatility, with strong wins but also several losses, particularly away from home.
- Historically, Valencia Basket leads the head-to-head series against Crvena Zvezda with 9 wins to 4 in recent Euroleague encounters. Recent matches (last 4) have been closely contested, with Valencia winning the majority but by narrow margins.
- No specific injury reports or suspensions are currently available for either team, implying both squads are expected to field their usual lineups.
- The game is played at Valencia's home arena, Pabellon Municipal Fuente San Luis, which provides a home-court advantage. No external disruptions or weather impacts are applicable.
- Valencia Basket aims to consolidate their top position to secure a playoff spot while Crvena Zvezda looks to improve their standings and avoid slipping further, adding competitive motivation for both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Crvena zvezda: 135, Valencia Basket: -167 | Valencia Basket to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | KK Crvena zvezda +3.5: -113, Valencia Basket -3.5: -110 | Valencia Basket -3.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 177 points: -109, Under 177 points: -114 | Under 177 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Valencia Basket -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 177 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Valencia Basket at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Valencia Basket is favored to win this match due to superior home form, historical advantage in head-to-head, and consistent performances. Expected competitive game with Valencia slightly edging out Crvena Zvezda.
Predicted Score: Valencia Basket 88 – 83 KK Crvena Zvezda