Match Analysis: Bradley Braves vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Carver Arena, Peoria, IL
Game Overview
The Bradley Braves host the UMass Lowell River Hawks in an NCAA basketball matchup where the Braves are heavily favored. Bradley enters with a 1-3 record while UMass Lowell is 0-4 on the season. This game features a significant talent and performance gap, with Bradley favored by 19.5 points and moneyline odds reflecting extreme confidence in a home victory. Both teams are struggling offensively, but Bradley's defensive presence and home court advantage create a lopsided matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bradley Braves: 1-3 record with 69.8 points per game on 39.9% shooting (331st in college). They average 30.5 rebounds per game and commit 17.3 fouls per contest while shooting 77.1% from free throw line. UMass Lowell River Hawks: 0-4 record with 73.6 points per game but allowing 86.6 points against. Their last game showed defensive vulnerability, losing 109-75 to Wake Forest while shooting just 45.9% from the field. JJ Massaquoi leads UMass Lowell with 14.4 points per game, shooting 60.5% from the field and 80% from the line.
- No prior head-to-head history data available in the search results for these programs.
- No injury information provided in available search results.
- Bradley is playing at home in Peoria with home court advantage. UMass Lowell is traveling as the away team and has shown defensive struggles in recent games. Bradley has struggled offensively this season but maintains better overall shooting efficiency than UMass Lowell.
- Bradley desperately needs a win to improve their 1-3 record and build momentum at home. UMass Lowell is winless and facing a much stronger opponent, which may affect confidence and execution. The large point spread suggests bookmakers expect Bradley to dominate both offensively and defensively.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves -6000 | UMass Lowell River Hawks +1600 | Bradley Braves Win | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | Bradley Braves -19.5 -112 | UMass Lowell River Hawks +19.5 -108 | Bradley Braves -19.5 | β β β β β 82% |
| Over/under | Over 149.5 -106 | Under 149.5 -118 | Under 149.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bradley Braves are strongly positioned to win this matchup convincingly. The combination of home court advantage, superior offensive efficiency (39.9% FG vs UMass Lowell's struggles), and defensive capability (allowing 69.0 PPG) creates a significant advantage. UMass Lowell's 0-4 record and recent 34-point loss to Wake Forest indicate continued struggles. Bradley's -19.5 spread reflects realistic expectations given the talent disparity. Expected outcome: Bradley victory by 18-22 points.
Predicted Score: Bradley Braves 79, UMass Lowell River Hawks 59