Match Analysis: South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: G.B. Hodge Center
Game Overview
The matchup features South Carolina Upstate Spartans hosting Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at the G.B. Hodge Center. USC Upstate holds a slight edge based on recent performance and projections, with a home crowd advantage and better cover record against the spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- USC Upstate has a 3-2 record, shooting 49.3% and averaging roughly 75.7 points per game, with strong recent covering against the spread including a notable upset win over Fresno State. Tennessee Tech is 2-3, struggling against Division 1 opponents and recently losing close games, including as favorites.
- No detailed recent direct head-to-head data is available for this season; however, USC Upstate has consistently won first halves in home games against Ohio Valley Conference teams, which Tennessee Tech belongs to.
- Currently no publicly indicated major injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect lineup or strategy.
- USC Upstate benefits from home court advantage with an unbeaten home record through two contests and Tennessee Tech has a negative streak playing on Wednesday nights against non-conference opponents.
- USC Upstate is motivated to maintain home dominance and improve their early season record, while Tennessee Tech looks to overcome poor starts and difficulties in D1 matchups.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Carolina Upstate Spartans: -144, Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: 118 | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | South Carolina Upstate Spartans: -2.5 -106, Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: +2.5 -114 | South Carolina Upstate Spartans -2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 149.5 -114, Under: 149.5 -110 | Under 149.5 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Carolina Upstate Spartans -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Carolina Upstate Spartans are favored to win a close game based on simulations and betting trends. They have a 58% estimated win probability compared to Tennessee Tech's 42%, with expected final score around 78-76 in favor of USC Upstate.
Predicted Score: South Carolina Upstate 78 – Tennessee Tech 76