Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Bellarmine Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Purcell Pavilion, South Bend
Game Overview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the Bellarmine Knights in a college basketball matchup featuring a significant spread line favoring Notre Dame. Notre Dame is coming off a close loss to Ohio State with a 3-1 record, showing strong offensive and defensive metrics. Bellarmine holds a 1-3 record, struggling particularly on defense and on the road, having lost recently to Wofford. The game has a high over/under total of 150.5 points, indicating expectations of a high-scoring contest primarily driven by Notre Dame's offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame averages 83.0 points per game on 49.4% shooting and pulls down 41.3 rebounds per game, ranking high nationally in scoring and defense, allowing 64.8 points per game. Bellarmine averages 77.5 points but struggles defensively, allowing 54.9% shooting and committing 16.5 fouls per game. Bellarmine's turnover rate and defensive stats are inferior to Notre Dame's.
- No recent direct matchups available in the search data for a meaningful head-to-head comparison.
- No specific injury information found in the available data for either team prior to the game.
- Notre Dame is playing at home in Purcell Pavilion, which supports their better performance, especially given Bellarmine's 0-2 road record. Weather or other external conditions are not applicable.
- Notre Dame, with a strong 3-1 record and recent close games, is motivated to assert dominance early in the season. Bellarmine, struggling at 1-3 and on the road, seeks a breakthrough but is likely the underdog mentally and statistically.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bellarmine Knights: +27.5 -112, Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -27.5 -108 | Notre Dame to cover -27.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -108, Under: 150.5 -112 | Over 150.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame Fighting Irish are predicted to win by a large margin, confidently covering the -27.5 spread, with an expectation of a high-scoring game pushing the total points above 150.5.
Predicted Score: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 89 – Bellarmine Knights 61