Match Analysis: South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Chattanooga Mocs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center, Orangeburg, SC
Game Overview
The South Carolina State Bulldogs host the Chattanooga Mocs in an NCAA basketball matchup. South Carolina State enters with a 0-4 record and a strong home-court history, while Chattanooga is 1-3 and favored on the road by 9.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chattanooga has a 1-3 record, with losses heavily on the road (0-3 away) and struggling against the spread (0-3 ATS). South Carolina State is 0-4 overall but strong at home, having won its last seven games at the venue and leading the first half in recent home contests. Both teams have low offensive outputs recently, as reflected in their totals.
- Recent direct matchups are not explicitly detailed, but South Carolina State has a history of competitive home performance and winning first halves against Chattanooga or similar opponents. Chattanooga has a strong trend of winning Wednesday night games, with 12 consecutive Wednesday wins.
- No specific injury information is available from provided data.
- Chattanooga has lost nine of its last 10 road games following a loss, indicating road struggles. Both teams have recent games producing totals under 158.5 points, matching the current over/under line.
- South Carolina State may be motivated by its perfect recent home record and the chance to avoid a 0-win start. Chattanooga aims to rebound from road losses and continue its streak of Wednesday night wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chattanooga Mocs: -590, South Carolina St Bulldogs: 410 | Chattanooga Mocs win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Chattanooga Mocs -9.5: -112, South Carolina St Bulldogs +9.5: -108 | Chattanooga Mocs to cover -9.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 158.5: -106, Under 158.5: -118 | Under 158.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chattanooga Mocs -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chattanooga Mocs are favored to win given the moneyline odds (-590) and spread (-9.5), but South Carolina State is likely to keep the game competitive at home. Given Chattanooga's poor road recent record after losses and South Carolina State's strong home advantage, expect a Chattanooga win but with a moderate margin near the spread line.
Predicted Score: Chattanooga Mocs 79 – South Carolina St Bulldogs 69