Match Analysis: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano vs Hapoel Tel Aviv – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mediolanum Forum, Milan, Italy
Game Overview
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano hosts Hapoel Tel Aviv in a EuroLeague matchup. Milano, currently holding the 10th position in the standings, faces an away team seeking to improve its competitive position. This encounter represents a significant test for both squads in their campaign for playoff qualification and continental prominence.[2] The match features contrasting recent form, with Milano showing resilience through recent victories including an overtime win against Anadolu Efes (97-93 AET) on November 7, while Hapoel Tel Aviv has demonstrated competitive ability with a notable victory over Valencia (100-93) on October 15.[1]
Key Factors to Consider
- Milano has displayed inconsistent performance in November, with a narrow loss to Olympiacos (87-88) on November 14 followed by an 80-72 victory against Lyon-Villeurbanne on November 12. The team's recent form shows competitive strength against top-tier opponents, having defeated Anadolu Efes in overtime and maintaining victories against mid-table teams. Hapoel Tel Aviv has shown solid form with recent performances including a competitive loss to Olympiacos (58-62) on October 31 and victories over Monaco (85-77) and Valencia (100-93). However, the away team's consistency has been tested against the stronger EuroLeague franchises.
- Limited historical head-to-head data is available in the search results, suggesting this may be a relatively infrequent matchup or early-season encounter. Both teams' recent form against common opponents (such as Olympiacos and Monaco) provides some comparative insight into their competitive standing within the league.
- No specific injury information is provided in the available search results. Both teams appear to have full roster availability based on recent matchday participation, though squad rotation and potential rest considerations should be monitored.
- The match is played at Milano's home venue, the Mediolanum Forum, providing a significant territorial advantage. The Thursday evening fixture (19:30 UTC) occurs mid-week, which may impact recovery time for both squads depending on their previous match schedules. Milano has experience in this competition and home court advantage is historically significant in EuroLeague basketball.
- Milano seeks to improve upon its current 10th-place standing and establish winning momentum at home. Hapoel Tel Aviv aims to demonstrate competitiveness against top-tier European opposition and secure victories on the road to strengthen playoff credentials. Both teams have championship aspirations and view mid-season matchups as crucial in the competitive EuroLeague landscape.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hapoel Tel Aviv: -148 | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano: +124 | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano ML | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Hapoel Tel Aviv -3.5 (-110) | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano +3.5 (-110) | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano +3.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 171.5 (-110) | Under 171.5 (-110) | Under 171.5 | β β β ββ 56% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano 23% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 171.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano is predicted to secure a victory in this home fixture. Despite current standing challenges, the combination of home court advantage, recent overtime victory demonstrating competitive resolve, and the betting market dynamics favor Milano. The spread indicates a close contest with Milano receiving 3.5 points, reflecting a competitive but slightly favored Hapoel Tel Aviv according to bookmakers. However, home court advantage and Milano's recent performances against similarly-ranked competition support a slight Milan victory.
Predicted Score: Milano 86 – Hapoel Tel Aviv 82