Match Analysis: Anadolu Efes vs FC Barcelona Bàsquet – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Turkcell Basketball Development Center
Game Overview
Anadolu Efes hosts FC Barcelona in a critical Euroleague matchup. Both teams have shown solid competitiveness this season, with FC Barcelona currently favored by bookmakers. The encounter continues a long-standing rivalry with evenly split historical results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Anadolu Efes has struggled recently with a 4-7 record, partly due to injuries to key players such as Shane Larkin. Barcelona has been more consistent, leveraging slightly better team stats in rebounds and assists. Both teams are near evenly matched in historical head-to-head games with 15 wins each.
- The teams have split their previous 30 Euroleague encounters evenly with 15 wins apiece. Recent matches show a mixture of close results, reflecting a balanced rivalry where home court advantage and player form often sway outcomes.
- Anadolu Efes is missing star guard Shane Larkin due to a groin injury sustained in their recent game, which lowers their offensive potency. There is no current major injury reported for FC Barcelona.
- The match at the Turkcell Basketball Development Center offers home-court advantage to Anadolu Efes, though their injury situation could dampen this edge. Weather and travel conditions are not impacting the game.
- Both teams are competing for valuable playoff positioning in Euroleague, which raises stakes and intensity. Anadolu Efes may have extra motivation to perform well at home despite struggles, while Barcelona aims to maintain their status as a top contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anadolu Efes: 1.42, FC Barcelona Bàsquet: 1.59 | FC Barcelona to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Anadolu Efes +3.5: 1.89, FC Barcelona Bàsquet -3.5: 1.93 | FC Barcelona -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 168.5: 1.91, Under 168.5: 1.91 | Under 168.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Barcelona Bàsquet 43% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 168.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Barcelona Bàsquet at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Barcelona has the edge due to better current form, fewer injuries, and favorable moneyline odds, making them the favorite. However, Anadolu Efes' home court and the rivalry balance keeps the game competitive.
Predicted Score: Anadolu Efes 80 – 86 FC Barcelona