Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs Wichita St Shockers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: ExtraMile Arena
Game Overview
Boise State Broncos host Wichita State Shockers in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Both teams enter with strong early-season records, with Boise State at 3-1 and Wichita State at 3-0. Boise State is favored at home, with a spread of -9.5 and a total set at 153.5 points. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing offensive efficiency and solid defensive metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wichita State averages 90.0 points per game, shooting 48.8% from the field and 35.9% from three, while Boise State averages 88.0 points per game, shooting 48.1% from the field and 76.3% from the free-throw line. Wichita State is strong on the boards (45.5 per game) but turns the ball over 12 times per game. Boise State assists more (18.3 per game) but commits more turnovers (13.7 per game). Both teams are efficient offensively, but Wichita State has a slight edge in rebounding and scoring.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup. Both teams have played strong non-conference schedules, but there is no direct historical data to analyze.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Boise State has a strong home record, covering the spread in 13 of their last 21 home games and hitting the moneyline in 18 of their last 21 home games. Wichita State has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 away games and has a strong trend of hitting the under in both full game and first-half totals.
- Both teams are motivated to build momentum early in the season. Boise State is looking to solidify their home dominance, while Wichita State aims to prove themselves against a strong opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State Broncos: -485, Wichita St Shockers: 370 | Boise State Broncos | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Boise State Broncos: -9.5 -110, Wichita St Shockers: 9.5 -110 | Wichita St Shockers +9.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -105, Under: 153.5 -115 | Under 153.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State Broncos 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be close, with Boise State favored due to their home advantage and recent form. However, Wichita State's strong offensive efficiency and rebounding could keep them competitive. The most likely outcome is a narrow Boise State victory, with the game potentially staying under the total due to defensive trends from both teams.
Predicted Score: Boise State 78, Wichita State 75