Match Analysis: Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Game Overview
The upcoming NBA game features the Atlanta Hawks hosting the Detroit Pistons. The Hawks carry a solid recent form with a 9-5 record this season, known for their efficient 117.6 points per game offense and strong assists average (30.4). The Pistons boast an even better record (11-2), with a high-scoring offense averaging 118.2 points and solid defense ranking among NBA's better teams, currently on a 9-game winning streak. Both teams have shown competitive edge with recent closely contested head-to-head games at this venue.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit has a superior overall record of 11-2 vs Hawks' 9-5, currently on a 9-game winning streak. Offensively, Detroit scores 118.2 PPG on 47.2% shooting with 47.8 rebounds, while Atlanta averages slightly less at 117.6 PPG on 48.6% shooting and 42.1 rebounds. Atlantaβs defense allows 114 points on average, slightly weaker than Detroitβs allowing 112.2 points. Hawks excel in assists (30.4 per game) vs Pistons' 26.6. Recent form favors Detroit in wins and margins.
- Over 449 all-time regular-season games, Detroit narrowly leads with 228 wins to Atlantaβs 221. Recent head-to-head results show a balanced rivalry, with Detroit winning 4 of the last 5 encounters and especially strong at the Atlanta home turf with several recent victories, including a close 148-143 win in February 2025. Against the spread, Atlanta covers 54% historically, though Detroit has 60% ATS in recent matches.
- No explicit injury reports available in the current data, suggesting both teams likely at near-full strength for this game.
- Game held at Atlantaβs State Farm Arena confers home advantage for Hawks. The time zone favors no noticeable fatigue factor. Both teams are well-motivated mid-season with playoff positioning implications.
- Detroit is motivated by an ongoing winning streak and strong effort to maintain top Eastern Conference standing; Atlanta aims to capitalize on home advantage and disrupt Detroitβs momentum, sustaining playoff contention.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta Hawks: -104, Detroit Pistons: -112 | Detroit Pistons | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Atlanta Hawks: 1.5 -114, Detroit Pistons: -1.5 -106 | Detroit Pistons to cover -1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 228.5 -112, Under: 228.5 -108 | Over 228.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 228.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 228.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a tightly contested game with Detroit Pistons slightly favored due to current form, deeper recent success against Hawks, and defensive strengths. The Hawksβ home advantage and high assist rate may keep the game close, but Detroitβs efficiency and rebounding edge give them a slight upper hand.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 117 – Atlanta Hawks 114