Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs Abilene Christian Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Strahan Arena, San Marcos, Texas
Game Overview
The Texas State Bobcats host the Abilene Christian Wildcats in a midweek NCAAB matchup. Both teams enter with solid records, Texas State at 3-2 and Abilene Christian at 3-1. The game features a close spread and a moderate total, indicating a competitive matchup with potential for a tight finish.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas State has shown mixed results, going 2-2 in their last four games, but have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 outings. Abilene Christian is 3-1, with a strong defensive showing in their recent games. Texas State's home record is 1-1 against the spread, while Abilene Christian has been consistent on the road.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, making recent form and team trends the primary basis for analysis.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Texas State's home venue, which could provide a slight edge due to crowd support. Weather and travel are not factors for this indoor game.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Texas State will be motivated to improve their home record, while Abilene Christian aims to prove their strength against a conference opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Abilene Christian Wildcats: 110, Texas State Bobcats: -130 | Texas State Bobcats | Not available |
| Spread | Abilene Christian Wildcats: 1.5 -105, Texas State Bobcats: -1.5 -115 | Texas State Bobcats -1.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 137.5 -115, Under: 137.5 -105 | Over 137.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas State Bobcats -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 137.5 -5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Texas State Bobcats at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas State is favored to win this game, but the spread is narrow, indicating a close contest. The total points line suggests a moderate scoring game, with both teams likely to keep the pace controlled. Texas State's home advantage and recent spread performance give them a slight edge.
Predicted Score: Texas State 72, Abilene Christian 66