Match Analysis: Florida St Seminoles vs Tenn-Martin Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, Tallahassee, FL
Game Overview
The Florida State Seminoles (2-1) host the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (3-0) in a matchup featuring a strong offensive Seminoles team averaging 95 points per game over their last three contests against a confident undefeated Skyhawks squad. Florida State enters as an overwhelming favorite, with a dominant recent scoring pace and home court advantage at the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida State has averaged 95 points per game in the last three games, showing high offensive efficiency (32-70 FG, 46%) and good free throw shooting (17-21, 81%). Tennessee-Martin has been strong as well with a perfect 3-0 record but averages 87 PPG with lower defensive intensity compared to FSU, allowing 72.7 PPG.
- No recent direct head-to-head games available in the past season but historical trends suggest Florida State, as a Power Five conference team, generally outmatches Ohio Valley Conference teams like Tenn-Martin.
- No reported injuries affecting either team with both squads apparently at full strength for the matchup.
- Florida State benefits from home court and ACC Network Extra national TV exposure, boosting motivation and media spotlight, while Tenn-Martin faces the challenge of travel and an imposing venue atmosphere.
- Tenn-Martin aims to maintain their perfect start and pull an upset on the road, while Florida State looks to build momentum early in the season and affirm dominance as a top-tier program.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida St Seminoles: -10000, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: 2400 | Florida State Seminoles win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Florida St Seminoles: -22.5 -120, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: +22.5 -102 | Florida State covers -22.5 spread | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 162.5 -110, Under: 162.5 -110 | Over 162.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida St Seminoles 2200% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 162.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Florida St Seminoles at 2200% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 91.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida State Seminoles are heavily favored to win convincingly due to superior offensive output, home advantage, and stronger conference pedigree. Tennessee-Martin is likely to struggle to keep pace but may cover part of the large spread with effort.
Predicted Score: Florida State Seminoles 90 – Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks 65