Match Analysis: Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Stabler Arena, Bethlehem, PA
Game Overview
The Lehigh Mountain Hawks host the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup. Lehigh, with a 1-3 record, is favored heavily against a struggling St. Francis team at 0-3. The game features both teams trying to find rhythm, with Lehigh favored by 9.5 points and an over/under set at 153.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lehigh has shown slightly better offensive efficiency, shooting around 41% field goals and controlling rebounds better. St. Francis has struggled with shooting consistency (39% FG) and turnovers, but plays stronger defensively recently, allowing about 93 points over their last three games compared to Lehigh's 70 points allowed. Lehigh's defense is more potent, offering a substantial edge.
- Recent direct encounters suggest Lehigh has the upper hand given their home advantage and stronger overall performance, but exact past head-to-head records are limited. Lehigh's home court at Stabler Arena is a known advantage.
- No significant injury reports available for either team at this time, indicating both teams should have their primary rosters available.
- Lehigh's home court and local fan support provide a motivational boost, especially given their favored status. St. Francis's travel and prior losses might dampen momentum. No major external disruptions noted.
- Lehigh aims to improve their losing record and capitalize on home advantage by asserting dominance early. St. Francis seeks to end their winless start and build confidence despite tough odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lehigh Mountain Hawks: -440, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: +340 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Lehigh Mountain Hawks: -9.5 -108, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: +9.5 -112 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks cover -9.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -110, Under: 153.5 -110 | Under 153.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lehigh Mountain Hawks -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win by at least 10 points due to stronger defense, rebounding advantage, and home court edge. The game is expected to hit the under on total points given Lehigh's effective defense limiting St. Francis scoring.
Predicted Score: Lehigh Mountain Hawks 82 – St. Francis (PA) Red Flash 70