Match Analysis: Columbia Lions vs Boston Univ. Terriers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Francis S. Levien Gymnasium, New York, NY
Game Overview
Columbia Lions (2-1) host Boston University Terriers (2-2) at home with Columbia favored by 6.5 points. Columbia is strong at home with a 2-0 record this season and unbeaten in their last 11 home games against non-conference opponents. Boston University struggles on the road at night with 9 losses in their last 10 such games. The game total is set at 147.5 points, reflecting moderately paced teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbia is 3-0 against the spread and 2-0 at home this season, showing solid defensive and overall gameplay. Boston University has a balanced 2-2 record but has difficulty in road night games, losing 9 of 10. Columbia has won their last 3 games covering spreads, indicating strong current form.
- No recent direct head-to-head results were found, but historical trends suggest Columbia's strong home advantage and Boston's road night game struggles will influence the outcome.
- No major injuries reported for either team with current rosters intact.
- Game is played in New York, giving Columbia home-court advantage. Boston's notable weakness in night road games contrasts with Columbiaβs home streak, impacting psychological and physical preparedness. Betting public heavily favors Columbia at 100%.
- Columbia is motivated to maintain their strong home record and Ivy conference standing. Boston University aims to recover from uneven early season form, but their night road game history could limit performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Univ. Terriers: 200, Columbia Lions: -250 | Columbia Lions win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Boston Univ. Terriers: +6.5 -115, Columbia Lions: -6.5 -105 | Columbia Lions -6.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -110, Under: 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 | β β β ββ 56% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbia Lions -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbia Lions are favored to win by a margin of around 7 points. The home advantage combined with Boston University's poor night road performance supports a confident Columbia victory. The total score is likely to stay near or slightly under the 147.5 line due to Boston's historically lower scoring in away Tuesday matches.
Predicted Score: Columbia Lions 77 – Boston Univ. Terriers 70