Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Lightning host the New Jersey Devils in a mid-season Atlantic vs. Metropolitan division matchup. Both teams are in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race, with the Lightning looking to solidify their home record and the Devils aiming to maintain their strong start on the road. The game is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams featuring high-powered offenses and solid goaltending.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tampa Bay Lightning are 9-7-2 overall and 4-5-0 at home, showing inconsistency but flashes of brilliance, especially with their offensive depth. New Jersey Devils are 13-4-1 overall and 6-4-0 away, demonstrating strong team balance and resilience. The Devils have scored 5 goals in their last meeting with Tampa Bay, while the Lightning have struggled defensively at home recently.
- The teams have met twice this season. On October 11, the Devils won in a shootout. On November 18, the Devils won 5-3 in Tampa Bay. The Lightning have lost both matchups, with the Devils outscoring them 10-8 in those games.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters are at full strength, including key players like Jack Hughes (Devils) and Victor Hedman (Lightning).
- The game is being played at Amalie Arena, where the Lightning have a mixed home record. The Devils are well-rested and have been performing well on the road. The weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their playoff positioning. The Devils are looking to extend their winning streak and prove their dominance over the Lightning, while the Lightning are eager to bounce back from recent losses and regain home ice advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Devils +128, Lightning -159 | New Jersey Devils | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Devils +1.5 -200, Lightning -1.5 +160 | New Jersey Devils +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 6 -107, Under 6 -117 | Over 6 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Jersey Devils 41% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New Jersey Devils at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The New Jersey Devils are favored to win this matchup based on their recent form and head-to-head record. However, the Lightning are capable of a strong performance at home. The game is expected to be close, with the Devils likely to edge out a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: New Jersey Devils 4 – 3 Tampa Bay Lightning