Match Analysis: Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs IUPUI Jaguars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Buccaneer Fieldhouse, Charleston, SC
Game Overview
The Charleston Southern Buccaneers host the IUPUI Jaguars in an NCAA Men's basketball matchup with both teams holding similar records. The Buccaneers have won 2 games and lost 8 recently, while the Jaguars are 4-6. Both teams show comparable offensive output but the Jaguars have a slight edge in recent head-to-head and season performance metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- IUPUI averages 96.6 points per game with 31.2% 3PT shooting and 75.6% FT shooting. The Buccaneers average 82 points per game with better three-point shooting at 35.3% but lower free throw accuracy at 63.2%. Defensively, IUPUI allows 96.8 points with 52% FG allowed, while Charleston Southern allows 81.2 points on 42.5% FG shooting. Both teams have struggled recently with inconsistent results.
- The recent head-to-head data is limited but Charleston Southern has won 3 of their last 4 games against non-ranked opponents and IUPUI has lost their last 13 Tuesday road games. This gives Charleston Southern a slight psychological and situational advantage.
- No specific injury reports noted in current data sources for either team.
- Home court advantage favors Charleston Southern playing at Buccaneer Fieldhouse. The Jaguars face tougher travel and historical performance issues on Tuesdays away.
- Both teams seek to improve their early-season records; Charleston Southern looks to capitalize on home advantage and break recent losses, while IUPUI aims to maintain momentum despite recent away game struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Southern Buccaneers: 118, IUPUI Jaguars: -144 | IUPUI Jaguars | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Charleston Southern Buccaneers: 2.5 -115, IUPUI Jaguars: -2.5 -105 | IUPUI Jaguars -2.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | over: 189.5 -116, under: 189.5 -108 | Over 189.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | IUPUI Jaguars -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 189.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 189.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charleston Southern Buccaneers are favored to win narrowly based on home advantage, historical Tuesday home performance, and defensive edge, despite IUPUI having a stronger offensive profile overall.
Predicted Score: IUPUI Jaguars 95 – Charleston Southern Buccaneers 89