Match Analysis: Brown Bears vs Holy Cross Crusaders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Pizzitola Sports Center, Providence, RI
Game Overview
The Brown Bears host the Holy Cross Crusaders in a non-conference NCAAB matchup on Wednesday, November 19, 2025. Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season, with Brown favored at home. The game features contrasting styles, with Brown relying on a balanced attack and Holy Cross emphasizing defense and rebounding.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brown Bears have started the season strong, showing offensive efficiency and solid defensive rebounding. Holy Cross Crusaders have struggled offensively in their early games, relying heavily on defense and limiting opponents' scoring. Brown's home-court advantage is notable, as they have won their last three home games by an average of 8 points.
- Brown and Holy Cross have met twice in the last five years, with Brown winning both matchups. The average margin of victory for Brown in those games was 6 points. Both previous meetings were played at Brown's home venue.
- Holy Cross is missing key guard Landon Lewis due to an ankle injury, which weakens their backcourt depth and perimeter scoring. Brown has no major injuries reported.
- Brown is playing at home, which provides a significant advantage in terms of crowd support and familiarity with the court. The game is not on a neutral site, and Brown's recent home form is a positive indicator.
- Both teams are seeking early-season wins to boost their resumes for potential postseason consideration. Brown is motivated to maintain their home dominance, while Holy Cross is looking to prove they can compete away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brown Bears: -180, Holy Cross Crusaders: 150 | Brown Bears | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Brown Bears: -3.5 -105, Holy Cross Crusaders: 3.5 -115 | Brown Bears -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 141.5 -105, Under: 141.5 -115 | Under | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brown Bears 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 141.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 141.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brown Bears are favored to win this matchup due to their home advantage, stronger recent form, and Holy Cross's injury concerns. The game is expected to be competitive, but Brown's balanced attack and defensive rebounding should give them the edge.
Predicted Score: Brown Bears 70 – 65 Holy Cross Crusaders