Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Vermont Catamounts – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Alumni Arena, Buffalo
Game Overview
The Buffalo Bulls and Vermont Catamounts, both undefeated at 4-0, face off in an anticipated college basketball matchup. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities. The game is expected to be high-scoring with a total point line around 141.5-142.5. Buffalo holds the home court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are undefeated (4-0). Buffalo has a strong recent home performance and has covered the spread in 3 of its last 5 games, including a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Vermont is also undefeated, showing solid offensive output, led by key player T. Long with 22 PPG. Buffalo's D. Freitag leads with 18 PPG.
- Recent historical matchups are limited here, but Buffalo has shown competitiveness at home against Vermont. Both teams are evenly matched on record and stats this season, indicating a close encounter.
- No reported key injuries impacting either team in current sources.
- Buffalo is playing at home in Alumni Arena, which tends to favor them. Betting public heavily favors Buffalo moneyline and spread picks, indicating strong confidence from bettors. Game broadcast on ESPN+.
- Both teams enter undefeated, highly motivated to maintain perfect records, especially early in the season. Buffalo aims to leverage home advantage to assert control while Vermont looks to sustain their road success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Bulls: 136, Vermont Catamounts: -162 | Vermont Catamounts win | β β β ββ 59% |
| Spread | Buffalo Bulls +3.5: -112, Vermont Catamounts -3.5: -108 | Vermont Catamounts -3.5 | β β β ββ 56% |
| Over/under | Over 141.5: -115, Under 141.5: -105 | Over 141.5 points | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vermont Catamounts -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 141.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 141.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Vermont Catamounts are favored to win on the moneyline but by a narrow margin, with a close and competitive game expected. The predicted total points lean towards the over 141.5, reflecting offensive strengths on both sides. Considering the spread, Vermont is likely to cover the -3.5 line, but Buffalo will keep it close.
Predicted Score: Vermont Catamounts 74 – Buffalo Bulls 70