Match Analysis: Kansas St Wildcats vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 18, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
Game Overview
The undefeated Kansas State Wildcats (3-0) host the undefeated Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-0) in an early-season conference matchup. Kansas State enters as a heavy favorite, having dominated opponents at home with strong three-point shooting (54.4%) and balanced scoring. Tulsa brings a disciplined approach centered on rebounding dominance (43.7 boards per game) and offensive consistency (90 PPG). This represents Tulsa's toughest road test to date, facing a Wildcats team that has yet to show vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State averages 96.7 PPG with exceptional ball movement (22.3 APG) and has converted turnovers into transition points through aggressive perimeter pressure. The Wildcats have won all three home games convincingly. Tulsa has maintained consistency despite occasional turnover issues, relying on size and rebounding to generate second-chance opportunities. Kansas State's three-point accuracy (54.4%) is significantly elevated and unsustainable over a full season, suggesting potential regression.
- This appears to be the first meeting of the season between these programs, with no recent historical data provided. Tulsa's performance against Cal (99-96 loss) demonstrates the ability to compete with stronger opponents, though the Wildcats capitalized on free-throw differential.
- No injury information is available in current data. Both teams appear to be at full strength based on available reporting.
- Kansas State benefits from home-court advantage at Bramlage Coliseum. Tulsa travels for its most challenging road test. The 1:00 AM UTC tip time (technically early morning) may slightly disadvantage the away team.
- Both teams seek to maintain undefeated records. Kansas State aims to demonstrate dominance in the non-conference schedule, while Tulsa pursues validation against a strong mid-major opponent and potential quality win for tournament seeding.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas State -1200 / Tulsa +720 | Kansas State Wildcats Win | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Kansas State -13.5 (-110) / Tulsa +13.5 (-110) | Kansas State -13.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 164.5 (-114) / Under 164.5 (-106) | Over 164.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas St Wildcats 657% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 164.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Kansas St Wildcats at 657% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 91.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas State is favored to win and cover the spread. While Kansas State's three-point shooting appears unsustainably high, the Wildcats' overall offensive balance, ball movement, defensive pressure, and home-court advantage provide multiple pathways to victory. Tulsa's rebounding prowess and offensive efficiency will keep the game competitive early, but Kansas State's pace and perimeter accuracy should prove decisive in the second half. The over/under trends suggest a moderately high-scoring affair, with Kansas State's offensive efficiency and Tulsa's up-tempo game both contributing to scoring.
Predicted Score: Kansas State 89, Tulsa 76