Match Analysis: Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Game Overview
The Toronto Raptors host the Charlotte Hornets in a regular season NBA matchup. Both teams are trending in opposite directions, with the Raptors showing strong offensive output and defensive resilience, while the Hornets struggle on the road and have been outscored in recent games. The Raptors have dominated the head-to-head series at home, and the Hornets are dealing with poor away form and defensive lapses.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Toronto Raptors are averaging 120.5 points per game and have won 7 of their last 10, shooting efficiently from the field (49.78%) and the free-throw line (76.86%). Their defense is allowing 112.5 points per game. The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 117.2 points per game but are giving up 120.5 points per contest. They have lost 8 of their last 10 games, including four straight on the road, and are scoring 111.2 points per game away from home while conceding 123.9 points.
- The Raptors lead the all-time series 51-49. In the last 10 meetings, the Raptors have won 8, including the last two by double digits. The Raptors have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head matchups at Scotiabank Arena. The Hornets have only managed 2 wins in their last 10 games against Toronto.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
- The game is being played at Scotiabank Arena, where the Raptors have a strong home record (71.1% win rate). The Hornets have a poor away record (28.9% win rate) and are 1-9 in their last 10 road games. The Raptors are also favored by the betting market, indicating strong confidence in their home performance.
- The Raptors are looking to extend their winning streak and solidify their position in the Eastern Conference. The Hornets are fighting to avoid a losing streak and improve their road record, but their recent form suggests they may struggle to keep up with the Raptors' pace.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte Hornets: 270, Toronto Raptors: -340 | Toronto Raptors | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Charlotte Hornets: 8.5 -115, Toronto Raptors: -8.5 -105 | Toronto Raptors -8.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 238.5 -108, Under: 238.5 -112 | Over 238.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Raptors -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 238.5 25% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 238.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Toronto Raptors are favored to win this matchup due to their strong home record, recent form, and dominance in head-to-head meetings. The Hornets' poor road performance and defensive struggles make it difficult for them to compete, especially against a high-scoring Raptors team. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with the Raptors likely to cover the spread and the total points likely to go over.
Predicted Score: Toronto Raptors 122 – 116 Charlotte Hornets
