Match Analysis: Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Game Overview
The Detroit Pistons face the Indiana Pacers in a pivotal NBA regular season matchup. The Pistons come in with strong recent form, having won 9 of their last 10 games, averaging 118.2 points per game, while the Pacers have struggled with 1 win in their last 10, averaging 108.7 points per game. Historically, the Pacers hold a slight edge with a 114-118 overall record against the Pistons including a 3-1 recent head-to-head advantage. The Pistons are favored at home with significantly better current performance metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit has been dominant recently, winning 9 of their last 10 and averaging 118.2 PPG with efficient shooting (47.2%). The Pacers have underperformed with only 1 win in 10 and lower scoring (108.7 PPG) and shooting percentage (40.1%). Pistons also excel in steals (10.3 per game) and blocks (6.15).
- The Pacers lead the all-time series 118-114 but Detroit has a 3-0 playoff series winning streak vs. Pacers. In the last five matchups, Pacers won 3, Pistons 2, though the Pistons have won recently at home.
- No explicit injury reports available from the data sources, suggesting both teams likely field near full strength rosters.
- The Pistons enjoy home court advantage at Little Caesars Arena. Motivation for Detroit is high given their winning streak and home support, while Pacers face pressure to improve their recent struggles.
- Detroit is motivated to extend their excellent recent form and maintain conference standing. The Pacers aim to break their losing streak and defend their historical record against Detroit.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons: -440, Indiana Pacers: 340 | Detroit Pistons | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Detroit Pistons: -9.5 -118, Indiana Pacers: 9.5 -102 | Detroit Pistons -9.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 230.5 -105, Under: 230.5 -115 | Over 230.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 230.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 230.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Pistons are strongly favored to win due to superior recent form, home advantage, and offensive and defensive metrics. Expected to cover the spread and a moderately high scoring game is likely.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 121 – Indiana Pacers 107