Match Analysis: Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 12:21 AM UTC
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Dallas, TX
Game Overview
The Green Bay Packers (2-1) visit the Dallas Cowboys (1-2) in a Week 4 NFC matchup with playoff implications. Packers are favorites with strong defensive and offensive balance, while Cowboys seek redemption at home, boosted by the return of star linebacker Micah Parsons facing his former team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Packers hold a better record (2-1) compared to Cowboys (1-2). Green Bay's offense and defense have outperformed Dallas with 64 points scored vs 74 but with fewer points allowed (44 vs 92). Packers have been more consistent on the road, while Dallas has struggled in recent games.
- Historically, the Cowboys have had an edge at home versus the Packers, but recent seasons have seen tight contests with momentum shifting to Green Bay, especially after acquiring key defensive players like Micah Parsons.
- Micah Parsons returns for Dallas after being traded from Green Bay, adding pass-rushing talent. Both teams are reported near full strength with no significant injuries affecting starters.
- Game played indoors at Dallas' AT&T Stadium minimizes weather impact. Packers have a favorable travel schedule with limited disruptions. Medium crowd enthusiasm expected for Cowboys supporting Parsons.
- Micah Parsons' debut against his former team adds emotional intensity for Dallas. Packers aim to maintain divisional leads and capitalize on Cowboys' current struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys +285, Green Bay Packers -360 | Green Bay Packers | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Dallas Cowboys +7 (-115), Green Bay Packers -7 (-105) | Green Bay Packers -7 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 47.5 (-105), Under 47.5 (-115) | Under 47.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Green Bay Packers -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 47.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Green Bay Packers moneyline win, Packers -7 spread cover, Under 47.5 points total
Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24 – Dallas Cowboys 14