Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Winston-Salem
Game Overview
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons host the UMass Lowell River Hawks in a highly uneven matchup based on current team records and performance. Wake Forest stands at 2-1 with a strong home record, while UMass Lowell is struggling at 1-3 overall and winless away. Significant disparities in team quality and betting odds imply a likely dominant win for Wake Forest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forest has shown solid form with a 2-0 home record and an average points difference of +29, indicating good offensive and defensive balance. UMass Lowell has a negative point differential (-31) and a losing streak of three games, struggling particularly on the road (0-2).
- Recent direct encounters data is limited, but historical data and current form overwhelmingly favor Wake Forest as the dominant side.
- No major injury reports available for either team, suggesting that key starters are expected to play.
- The game takes place at Wake Forest's home venue, bolstering the home team's advantage. Public betting is heavily skewed toward Wake Forest with 100% of the moneyline bets, indicating strong market confidence.
- Wake Forest seeks to maintain its home winning streak and improve its record, while UMass Lowell aims to halt its losing streak and gain confidence, though motivation disparities favor Wake Forest.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UMass Lowell River Hawks: 4000, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: -30000 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | UMass Lowell River Hawks: +28.5 -110, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: -28.5 -110 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons to cover -28.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over 163.5: -115, Under 163.5: -105 | Under 163.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deacons are predicted to win decisively, covering the large spread comfortably and the game likely staying under the set total points line due to controlled tempo and defense.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 90 – 58 UMass Lowell River Hawks