Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Fulham – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Villa Park
Game Overview
Aston Villa hosts Fulham in a Premier League encounter with both teams showcasing contrasting recent form and tendencies. Aston Villa has a home advantage with decent performances but Fulham remains a dangerous opponent capable of causing an upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Aston Villa shows moderate form with a solid home presence but a slower start historically. Fulham has been more efficient recently and carries momentum with key attackers contributing goals and assists.
- Recent H2H matches slightly favor Aston Villa at home, but results have been mixed, with Fulham securing important wins away.
- No critical injuries reported affecting starting line-ups significantly for either side, maintaining squad strength balance.
- No major external disruptions like travel issues or extreme weather expected. Villa Parkβs atmosphere favors the home side.
- Both teams aim to improve table positions early in the season; Aston Villa motivated to leverage home advantage, Fulham motivated by recent form and to maintain positive momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +127, away: +230, draw: +206 | Fulham | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Aston Villa -0.5: +122, Fulham +50: -164 | Aston Villa -0.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +108, Under 2.5: -143 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fulham 49% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fulham at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fulham to win on moneyline, Aston Villa -0.5 on spread, Under 2.5 goals on over/under
Predicted Score: 1-0